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OWNERSHIP: Re: the theorem: SAY'S LAW



>> Do you disagree with the standard paraphrase?
> 
> Yes.
> ---------------------
> -----------------------
> [REPLY] I asked a very simple question:  Do you
think
> "supply creates its own demand" is an appropriate
> statement of Say's Law.  I happen to think that it
> is.  Almost everyone else thinks that it is. And I
> happen to agree.  Are you the exception?  If you
are,
> then let's skip Say's Law, because that is the
> proposition that A+B attempts to refute.

"I do not think it is, for the reasons given. I do 
think Keynes misrepresented it. I suppose you can say 
I am the Galileo on this occasion.  A+B supporters 
might just be fighting something it need not - all 
due to the mischievousness of that character Keynes?" 
---------------------
-----------------------
[REPLY] Tim, I don't see how you can read my excerpts 
together with your excerpts and come to any 
conclusion other than he is saying: supply creates 
its own demand.  Forget Keynes.  He was not the first 
to use the term.  Several economists used it before 
him, including his mentor, Marshall.  The first time 
I am aware that Keynes used the term was in his 1936 
book.  He may have used it in his published graduate 
lectures--I don't remember.  Douglas had already 
argued against it - meaning the proposition that 
supply creates its own demand - for two decades.  If 
you can't comprehend what Say said, from his own 
words, then there is no way in the world that you 
will comprehend the counter argument, which is at a 
higher level of complexity.  And I am not in the 
least interested in debating what Say may have 
actually said or may not have actually said.  The 
proposition I am interested in discussing is the 
proposition that supply creates its own demand.  The 
question you should ask yourself, am I interested in 
discussing that proposition, or not?  If not, then 
there's no point in discussing A+B.  And you're not 
the Galileo in this, you're the guy who wants to 
argue how many angels can fit on the head of a pin.  
As to misrepresenting Say's Law, I should say you 
grossly misinterpret it.  And furthermore, you don't 
even comprehend the point about Galileo.  
-

"He [Say] is using observation in seeing how wealth 
occurs in towns vs country, poor areas vs rich, how a 
highly competitive area can still produce more wealth 
than one without competition."
---------------------
-----------------------
[REPLY] He is doing more than merely observing, he is 
inferring cause and effect in the absence of 
evidence.  The evidence before him is the testimony 
of the "adventurers" that he assumes away.
-

"It is unfair to say he is irrational or
unscientific."
---------------------
-----------------------
[REPLY] Not irrational, but avoiding the scientific 
method.  The classical economists and their modern 
descendents are quite rational in that their 
arguments are structured axiomatically.  It's just 
that they refuse to challenge their axioms, and will 
insert axioms ad hoc when needed to make their case.
-

> "Note how Say is clear that if consumption is not
> able to absorb production it performs a downward
> spiral into poverty - 'the value of the product is
> less than the charges of its production'. Is this
not
> what is said by the A+B Theorem???"
> ---------------------
> -----------------------
> [REPLY] Well, the answer to the question is, No. 
Say
> is placing the blame on consumers who do not
purchase
> enough.  He is using the classical argument that the
> reason they don't purchase enough is that they don't
> put sufficient value on what is being produced.

"I do not agree with this at all, Bill. If Say states 
this how come Keynes paraphrases Say to 'supply 
creates its own demand'???"
---------------------
-----------------------
[REPLY] You understand neither what Keynes or Say is 
saying.  Say is imposing a barter/neutral money 
model.  The production of commodities creates their 
own demand in the form of different commodities in 
the hands of others in surplus to their needs.

>From your excerpt:

"And, vice versa, wherever, by reason of the blunders 
of the nation or its government, production is 
stationary, or does not keep pace with consumption, 
the demand gradually declines..."

Is he not asserting here that demand declines if 
production declines?  How does this address the 
"adventurers'" complaint that there was insufficient 
vent?  They were telling him that they had the 
resources to produce a lot more than they were 
producing if there were more vent.  If Say had been 
thinking in the manner of a scientist, he would have 
taken their complaint seriously, and considered the 
possibility that there was something about a monetary 
economy that made it act differently than the 
theoretically pure barter economy, instead of in the 
manner of the didactic, assuming the complaint away.  
He would have attempted to construct scenarios, or 
hypotheses, where supply might not create its own 
demand.  One such scenario is A+B, from the heterodox 
perspective.  There are others from the classical or 
"neo-classical" perspective, like Mises's theory of 
the trade-cycle.
-

> Money does move at a *finite*
> velocity that is not an independent variable.

How come? Not back to rivers again?
---------------------
-----------------------
[REPLY] Tim, I'm not arguing the point, simply 
presenting the point.  How can you understand the 
point if you don't understand classical economics, 
which is the counter argument to the point?  That you 
don't understand classical economics is quite evident 
from your comments regarding Say.  If you don't 
understand classical economics, how do you expect to 
understand marginalist economics, which is classical 
economics translated into Latin from the vernacular 
that you and I speak?  You will certainly never 
understand the counterpoint to that.
-

> The quantity theory of money with its velocity
factor
> is simply fallacious.

"I think Say accepts this anyhow when he mentions the 
fact that merchants will get around the limitations 
to allow transactions to continue, free from the 
bounds of coin. Still, money, in terms of account 
balances could now move faster even in Say's time if 
all it took was a scratch of a quill pen in two sets 
of ledgers..."
---------------------
-----------------------
[REPLY] You're now paraphrasing the translator's 
interpretation, who is writing some sixty years after 
Say.  And your paraphrase is in my opinion a 
misinterpretation of the translator's interpretation.

The concept of velocity is subtle; you fail to 
understand even that.  The quill pen is creating 
additional money contractually.  The already existing 
balances are not moving faster.  Money moves at a 
finite velocity because we know it moves.  The 
"velocity" factor from the quantity theory equation 
is not a measure of how fast it moves.  It certainly 
is not a measure of how fast the arbitrarily defined 
money in the quantity equation moves.  It is simply 
based on the false assumption that the arbitrarily 
defined money is the only money, and that therefore, 
if the volume of transactions is increasing, the 
velocity of circulation of the arbitrarily defined 
money must be increasing.  The further extension of 
this fallacious argument is that there cannot be a 
"shortage" of money because all that has to happen is 
for the "velocity of money" to increase!

Say may well have mentioned the existence of 
creditary instruments like bills of trade, though I 
don't remember having seen it.  It has been some time 
since I last opened his book.  And I never actually
read it completely.

But certainly, he would have looked at them as being 
merely representations for intrinsic metal coin, as 
opposed to the creditary view that they represent new 
money.

This is the complete sentence, to which both you and 
the 1880 translator refer:

"Should the increase of traffic require more money to 
facilitate it, the want is easily supplied, and is a 
strong indication of prosperity a proof that a great 
abundance of values has been created, which it is 
wished to exchange for other values. In such cases, 
merchants know well enough how to find substitutes 
for the product serving as the medium of exchange or 
money: [translator's note] and money itself soon 
pours in, for this reason, that all produce naturally 
gravitates to that place where it is most in demand."

Now let's go through this, clause by clause:

"Should the increase of traffic require more money to 
facilitate it, the want is easily supplied..."

But the "adventurers," the practical businessmen, are 
telling him that from their own experience it's NOT 
easily supplied!  That is the actual evidence in 
front of him, which he counters with a purely 
theoretical argument, in effect telling them they 
don't know what they are talking about.

"...and is a strong indication of prosperity a proof 
that a great abundance of values has been created, 
which it is wished to exchange for other values."

He is here saying that the want of money that is 
easily supplied is a proof that a great abundance of 
"values" have been created.  This argument is not 
only based on a false premise, it's circular--a type 
of post hoc ergo prompter hoc fallacy.

"In such cases, merchants know well enough how to 
find substitutes for the product serving as the 
medium of exchange or money...[which] soon pours in."

But, again, the "adventurers" have already told him 
they DON'T know "well enough." 

The 1880 translator's term here is "substitutes."  
The translation I'm familiar with is from much 
earlier.  I'll have to check that translation at the 
library, and also consult the original in French, 
which I can read with great difficulty with the aid 
of a dictionary.  If "substitute" is an appropriate 
translation, I am quite certain it would be in 
"substitute" for "money," which subsequently "pours 
in."  More post hoc, ergo prompter hoc.

At any rate, the ability of merchants to craft 
promissory notes to their suppliers is something 
quite different conceptually than the vent they 
require from their customers, who are ultimately the 
consuming public.
-

I would like to go one or two rounds more with this 
before moving to the next step in the extrapolation, 
which will consider double entry accounting.  I will 
await your reply before posting a closing response.
-


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